LiveEV

College football Predictor

Predicts the winner and the margin for every FBS game, before kickoff. It places no bets and holds no positions — this page tracks whether it is any good. Hover any ? for an explanation.

All-time units
+6.34u
since season start
Win rate
80.8%
167 trades · +4.1pp vs 76.7¢ avg entry
Avg EV
-0.0pp
model edge at entry
Green days
7/10
days closed positive
Best day
+5.19u
2026-09-26
Avg daily
+0.63u
per day this season

Upcoming picks

One row per game, soonest first. Deliberately not ranked — on the MLB model, sorting picks by how confident we were put the worst ones on top, and there is no reason to expect college football to behave differently until it is tested.

GamePickOur numberMarketBy
TA&M @ MIZ MIZ 69.8% not priced 7.0 pts
UCF @ OKST OKST 71.7% 78.5% 4.0 pts
IU @ NEB IU 68.6% not priced 6.6 pts
ARIZ @ WVU ARIZ 63.1% 60.5% 6.0 pts
UNC @ PITT PITT 71.0% 62.5% 13.4 pts
SAC @ BGSU BGSU 62.8% 72.5% -0.6 pts
WAKE @ NCSU NCSU 56.8% not priced 2.3 pts
TULN @ ARMY ARMY 65.8% 60.5% 8.6 pts
BALL @ NU NU 99.0% not priced 32.4 pts
SC @ FLA FLA 81.3% 80.5% 12.8 pts
Brand new and barely tested. 283 settled games so far. The model itself is built on measurements from thousands of past games — a 20-point rating edge is worth about 18.5 points on the field, and home field is worth 2.62 — but its live record here is far too short to read. Nothing on this page is advice.

Since inception

2026-09-06 2026-10-04

How the last picks went

DateGamePickSaidFinalResult
10-10 WYO @ SJSU SJSU 51.2% 16-13 ✗
10-10 WSU @ USU USU 57.6% 16-17 ✓
10-10 IOWA @ WASH WASH 50.4% 41-24 ✗
10-10 ISU @ BYU BYU 85.7% 10-24 ✓
10-09 FSU @ LOU LOU 68.3% 20-44 ✓
10-08 MOST @ WKU WKU 60.8% 13-34 ✓
10-08 SHSU @ LIB LIB 90.6% 3-35 ✓
10-08 USA @ ARST ARST 72.3% 56-49 ✗
10-08 USF @ UTSA USF 55.6% 24-31 ✗
10-07 USM @ TROY TROY 80.1% 34-55 ✓
10-07 NMSU @ FIU FIU 82.9% 3-22 ✓
10-07 JXST @ KENN JXST 67.4% 27-26 ✓